Wednesday, August 22, 2018
The Magic Number Is Eight - And is the Clock Ticking?
Yesterday was a crucial day for Special Counsel Mueller's Investigation in that Paul Manafort was convicted on eight counts. The fact that the remaining counts were "hung" is inconsequential as the sting of these eight convictions sends a strong message and a possible heavy sentence. To make matters worse for Manafort, he still has an upcoming trial in DC on other charges. One could argue that there is always the possibility of success on appeal or a presidential pardon. But one has to wonder whether Manafort's time in negotiating a plea with the Special Counsel may be running out. And is there now competition in who will get the best cooperation agreement or favorable statement at sentencing from the government.
Further north, it was an important day in that within the same hour as Manafort's conviction, Attorney Michael Cohen entered a guilty plea to eight counts. Many in the media are noting that in the plea hearing Cohen said that his actions were "at the direction of a candidate for federal office." Was Michael Cohen sending a message to Mueller's team that he is ready to talk?
These two cases are not currently connected --two different prosecutors, two different offices, two different courts, two different matters.
But how many cooperators does Mueller need, and will Manafort (if he decides to cooperate) be up against Cohen's desire to offer evidence, assuming that he might have an interest in cooperation.
It may be a stretch to say that the clock is ticking for potential cooperators. It may also be that Mueller is someone who says "the more the better." Bottom line we just don't know. But yesterday's count of 8 will go down as a memorable day, not because of the matching 8s, but because of what is happening to individuals who had been associated with the President.