Monday, January 26, 2015

Immigration Article of the Day: Unauthorized Immigration and Electoral Outcomes by Nicole Baerg, Julie L. Hotchkiss, and Myriam Quispe-Agnoli


Unauthorized Immigration and Electoral Outcomes by Nicole Baerg (University of Mannheim), Julie L. Hotchkiss (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Georgia State University - Department of Economics), and Myriam Quispe-Agnoli (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta). December 1, 2014 Andrew Young School of Policy Studies Research Paper Series No. 14-12

Abstract: Using a unique methodology for identifying undocumented workers across counties in the state of Georgia in the United States, we find a negative relationship between the share of unauthorized workers and the share of votes going to the Democrats in elections. Furthermore, we show that this effect is more pronounced for the presence of unauthorized immigrants than Hispanics; is stronger in counties with higher median household income; and is substantively larger in U.S. Congressional elections than Gubernatorial or Senatorial elections. We discuss which political economy theories are most consistent with this set of findings.


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