Saturday, July 18, 2020
Rajiv Chowdhury (University of Cambridge), Shammi Luhar (University of Cambridge), Nusrat Khan (University of Cambridge), Sohel Reza Choudhury, Imran Matin, Oscar H. Franco, Lifting the Lockdown: What Are the Options for Low and Middle-Income Countries?, SSRN:
To limit the social, economic and psychological damage caused by strict social distancing interventions, many low and middle-income countries (LMICs) are seeking to ease restrictions. However, it is unknown what a ‘safe reopening’ entails in LMICs given suboptimal diagnostic and surveillance capabilities. Here we discuss three community-based public health measures (sustained mitigation, zonal lockdown and dynamic rolling lockdowns) which seek to adequately balance the public health and economic priorities. Each of these options have limitations and prerequisites that may be context-specific and should be considered before implementation, including implementation and maintenance costs, social and economic costs, context-specific epidemic growth and the existing health resources.