CrimProf Blog

Editor: Kevin Cole
Univ. of San Diego School of Law

Monday, May 9, 2022

Friehe et al. on Sanction Severity and Learning about Enforcement Policy

Tim FriehePascal Langenbach and Murat C. Mungan (University of Marburg, Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods and George Mason University - Antonin Scalia Law School, Faculty) have posted Sanction Severity Influences Learning About Enforcement Policy: Experimental Evidence (Journal of Legal Studies (Forthcoming)) on SSRN. Here is the abstract:
The literature on law enforcement often assumes that the updating of beliefs regarding the probability of detection is a process that is independent from the severity of the sanction. We test this presumption experimentally, using a taking game in which the probability of detection may be either high or low according to commonly known priors. Individuals gain information regarding their detection probability from their detection experience in the taking game. Some offenders are punished by a severe sanction, while others are sanctioned only mildly, which causes the detection experience to differ across subjects. Our analysis reveals that the sanction severity influences how individuals update their beliefs about the detection probability, casting doubt on the widely-held presumption that the perceived detection probability and the sanction magnitude are separable.

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