CrimProf Blog

Editor: Kevin Cole
Univ. of San Diego School of Law

Thursday, July 30, 2015

Lott et al. on Concealed Carry Permit Holders

John R. Lott Jr.John E Whitley and Rebekah C. Riley (Crime Prevention Research Center , Crime Prevention Research Center and Crime Prevention Research Center) have posted Concealed Carry Permit Holders Across the United States on SSRN. Here is the abstract:

Since President Obama’s election the number of concealed handgun permits has soared, growing from 4.6 million in 2007 to over 12.8 million this year. Among the findings in our report:
-- The number of concealed handgun permits is increasing at an ever- increasing rate. Over the past year, 1.7 million additional new permits have been issued – a 15.4% increase in just one single year. This is the largest ever single-year increase in the number of concealed handgun permits.
-- 5.2% of the total adult population has a permit.
-- Five states now have more than 10% of their adult population with concealed handgun permits.
-- In ten states, a permit is no longer required to carry in all or virtually all of the state. This is a major reason why legal carrying handguns is growing so much faster than the number of permits.
-- Since 2007, permits for women has increased by 270% and for men by 156%.
-- Some evidence suggests that permit holding by minorities is increasing more than twice as fast as for whites.
-- Between 2007 and 2014, murder rates have fallen from 5.6 to 4.2 (preliminary estimates) per 100,000. This represents a 25% drop in the murder rate at the same time that the percentage of the adult population with permits soared by 156%. Overall violent crime also fell by 25 percent over that period of time.
-- States with the largest increase in permits have seen the largest relative drops in murder rates.
-- Concealed handgun permit holders are extremely law-abiding. In Florida and Texas, permit holders are convicted of misdemeanors or felonies at one-sixth the rate that police officers are convicted.

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Concealed carry. Twenty years or so ago I was in a bar/restaurant in Saint Louis called The Edge Restaurant. This place was frequented by a collection of folks and some were cops, mostly cops in plain clothes, some were federal FBI agents and Secret Service, and then there was the mob guy crowd. A dumb guy came in the door and walked up to the bar. The bar is full of folks and the room around the bar is full of tables with folks seated. The guy pulls out a large knife and demands that the barmaid give him some money. We did not hear the demand but many of us saw the knife. Within a second or so there were 30 guns drawn but before anyone else could intervene another bar maid at the left of the guy smacked him on the side of the head with a huge bat and knocked him cold. Without fanfare some three or so guys dragged the guy out by his feet but face down across the parking lot and gravel to a Post Dispatch newstand and then threw him up backside down with his head on one side and feet on the other and just walked off. No one called the police to come get him. Some who left the bar went by him and gave him a slap or a kick to wake him up and finally he did fall off the newstand and roll around for a while and staggered to his feet. One guy leaving the bar was walking by and I was near my car nearby and heard the guy say to the chump: That is The Edge.

The point of my story is that crime can be prevented if more people carry concealed weapons. This guy was lucky that he did not get arrested and only suffered some severe head injuries.

Posted by: Liberty1st | Jul 31, 2015 9:45:37 AM

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