Sunday, March 29, 2009
Systemic Risk through Securitization: The Result of Deregulation and Regulatory Failure, Patricia A. McCoy, University of Connecticut - School of Law, Andrey D. Pavlov, University of Pennsylvania - Real Estate Department; Simon Fraser University - Finance Area, and Susan M. Wachter, University of Pennsylvania - Finance Department, was recently posted on SSRN. Here is the abstract:
Without regulation, securitization allowed mortgage industry actors to gain fees and to put off risks. During the housing boom, the ability to pass off risk allowed lenders and securitizers to compete for market share by lowering their lending standards, which activated more borrowing. Lenders who did not join in the easing of lending standards were crowded out of the market. Artificially low risk premia caused the asset price of houses to go up, leading to an asset bubble and breeding fraud. The consequences of lax lending were thereby covered up.
The market might have corrected this problem if investors had been able to express their negative views by short selling mortgage-backed securities, thereby allowing fundamental market value to be achieved. However, the one instrument that could have been used to short sell mortgage-backed securities - the credit default swap -was also infected with underpricing due to lack of minimum capital requirements and regulation to facilitate transparent pricing. As a result, there was no opportunity for short selling in the private-label securitization market. The authors propose countercyclical regulation to prevent a race to the bottom at the height of the business cycle.