Thursday, June 12, 2008

Some surprising data about the biggest culprits in land use and greenhouse gas emissions …

   So, it’s finally time for land use policies to take account of global climate change and carbon footprints, right?  Sure.  But what types of consumer activities contribute most to the dilemma of too much carbon in the atmosphere?  Often, policy discussions quickly focus on automobile emissions, with the subsequent policy prescription to favor public transportation and shorten commutes.  Okay, again.  But a recent study by the Brookings Institution (no corporate lackey) suggests that residential density and electricity generation are perhaps the most important factors in a metro area’s carbon footprint.  Of 100 metro areas that Brookings studied, Los Angeles (yes, that great mecca of the auto lifestyle) came out as the second most carbon stingy area, just behind Honolulu.  Residents of both these cities save carbon because of their pleasant climates, and Angelenos (defined helpfully to include only L.A. and Orange counties) use relatively less carbon because they live fairly densely and in fairly modest-sized houses.
Powerplant_2    Which factors contribute most significantly to a big carbon footprint per capita?  Bad weather, a smaller metro area (which tends to be less dense), and, perhaps most significantly of all, whether the local electricity comes from coal.  Nearly all the biggest carbon users per capita were in the Mississippi and Ohio River basins (Lexington, Ky., Indianapolis, and Cincinnati were the worst).  Western cities use far less carbon for residential use.   Here’s Brookings’s policy brief, and here’s the list of the metro areas, along with maps.
   So, yes, let’s work on improving and encouraging public transportation.  But if we’re really concerned about carbon, let’s worry just as much about density and electricity, even if it doesn’t meet our preconceptions of the wasteful American lifestyle …      
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June 12, 2008 | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

The housing bust and the role of the government …

   Here’s a shocker:  The Washington Post reports today that the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development encouraged Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase subprime-mortgage-backed securities early in the decade.  This encouraged risky loans that are now often resulting in foreclosures; as many as three or four million families may be unable to pay off their subprime loans.  Like other articles on the topic, the Post article implies incredulousness at the practice of terming such loans as “affordable,” and an academician is quoted as calling HUD’s policy “indifferent” as to whether the loans eventually hurt their recipients.    
   What articles such as this miss is that it had long been federal housing policy is encourage as many families as possible to purchase a home.  Lenders were chastised for not offering loans to low-income families and members of racial minorities.  Subprime loans did precisely this, and enabled many low-income and minority families to buy a home for the first time.  Many such families have been able to pay back their loans, even probably though more of them have been pinched by rising mortgage interest rates and falling equities. 
Suburb2   Yes, it is true that many of these loans should not have been made, because they were unlikely to be completed successfully, with adverse consequences for the borrower, the creditor, and the economy.  But we must remember that these were voluntary market transactions (putting aside the issue of whether lenders effectively fooled borrowers as to the terms).  Considering the long-standing national policy of favoring widespread “affordable” homeownership, it seems a little silly to assign much of the blame to government authorities, as opposed to the parties to the loans.  After all, where were the protests from low-income advocacy groups in front of HUD, Fannie Mae, and banks with signs reading:  “Stop allowing risky mortgage loans to poor families!”?
   Now that housing credit has shriveled and that builders aren’t constructing new developments in exurbs far from jobs (especially with $4 gasoline), government housing policy will have to change to encourage more in-fill and encourage more dense housing, in spite of local zoning laws that restrict such housing.  The changes in policy are likely to include a number of missteps, but we shouldn’t be surprised when government is slow is recognize adverse and unexpected consequences ….         

June 10, 2008 | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)