Thursday, January 12, 2012
By Thomas L. Hafemeister, J.D., Ph.D., Assoc. Prof., University of Virginia School of Law
An interesting article just appeared in the New England Journal of Medicine that asserts that “[a]lthough major components of [The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010 (ACA)] do not go into effect until 2014, the fate of the ACA depends on the outcome of four key events in 2012.”
Provided by the Department of Health Management and Policy and the Department of Political Science at the University of Michigan, the four identified events are (1) 2012 state legislative sessions, “the vast majority of which” will occur between January and June, (2) the Supreme Court ruling on the constitutionality of the ACA, expected by the end of June, (3) “the June 29 deadline for applications for the final federal grant that states can obtain to support establishment of a health insurance exchange,” and (4) the Presidential, Congressional, and state elections (including the heads of the departments of insurance in three states) on November 6.
The article proceeds to anticipate various potential outcomes associated with these events. Of particular note, comments in response to this article may be posted through January 18. The article can be found here.