Thursday, October 14, 2010
[F]ederal enforcement resources are limited. So Proposition 19 will greatly reduce the incidence of marijuana prosecutions in California, even if the drug remains theoretically illegal there. Perhaps more importantly, passage of Prop 19 would be a major political setback for drug prohibition. A victorious Prop 19 would likely be imitated in other states with referendum initiative processes. That in turn would put the federal War on Drugs under increasing stress. If several large states withdraw state resources from marijuana enforcement, the feds would either have to massively increase their own enforcement efforts or consider giving up the fight. At a time of increasing budgetary problems, the latter option might be more likely.