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March 18, 2009

AIG: And Worse

We now find out that AIG was incompetent in unwinding its problems with government money. And for these its experts get bonuses??  AIG was unwinding its credit default swap positionswith government money by buying the assets that were underlying the positions.  This, in theory, makes sense.  Rather than pay increased collateral for the increased risk of default by AIG on the contracts, AIG buys the debt instruments insured by the credit default swap from the counterparty and cancels the swap contract.  The problem?? AIG overpaid for the underlying assets; paying par value for assets that have discounted value due to increased credit risk.  The counterparty then pockets the gain from the overpayment and taxpayers take the hit. Taxpayers break even only if the can resell the assets at par value when markets recover.  Even if the counterparty does not own the underlying assets it will go out and buy cheap and sell them dear to AIG that pays with government money.  To make a long story short: AIG is playing the sucker in these unwinding strategies with taxpayer money.  Can it get worse??

March 18, 2009 | Permalink

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Comments

It has to be something other than incompetence. AIG knows the securities aren't worth par as indicated by the massive write downs it took on its CDS portfolio.

Posted by: Bill Sjostrom | Mar 18, 2009 10:02:30 PM

Bill, it is something other than incompetence. The fixed income instruments AIG insured are insured at par. They either have to pay par or they have to go bankrupt. The government won't let AIG go properly bankrupt and so it's using taxpayer money to pay par with AIG as the conduit.

I suspect that any instruments that are being sold to AIG that are not insured by AIG are purely a way for Treasury to funnel money to the selling institution - an institution to which the Treasury can't otherwise funnel taxpayer money. I call it "backdoor TARP."

Posted by: Methinks | Mar 19, 2009 9:56:35 PM

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